Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.014126 0.015855 0.017605 0.019504 0.021499 0.023529 0.025745
2025-05-18 0.010719 0.013377 0.016199 0.019386 0.022860 0.026505 0.030596
2025-05-25 0.008161 0.011284 0.014749 0.018801 0.023343 0.028221 0.033805
2025-06-01 0.006361 0.009744 0.013657 0.018374 0.023789 0.029712 0.036594
2025-06-08 0.004956 0.008463 0.012695 0.017945 0.024100 0.030940 0.038987
2025-06-15 0.004033 0.007647 0.012183 0.017951 0.024830 0.032571 0.041767
2025-06-22 0.003076 0.006650 0.011348 0.017487 0.024945 0.033447 0.043645
2025-06-29 0.002129 0.005508 0.010219 0.016577 0.024461 0.033575 0.044620
2025-07-06 0.001386 0.004510 0.009177 0.015696 0.023948 0.033617 0.045449
2025-07-13 0.001097 0.004199 0.009045 0.015953 0.024801 0.035247 0.048099
2025-07-20 0.000735 0.003653 0.008525 0.015663 0.024950 0.036020 0.049730
2025-07-27 0.000432 0.003101 0.007937 0.015242 0.024904 0.036536 0.051041
2025-08-03 0.000257 0.002799 0.007775 0.015493 0.025837 0.038391 0.054129
2025-08-10 0.000091 0.002349 0.007342 0.015371 0.026326 0.039756 0.056709
2025-08-17 0.000003 0.001808 0.006662 0.014848 0.026261 0.040425 0.058447
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001392 0.006117 0.014469 0.026351 0.041260 0.060363
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001038 0.005602 0.014088 0.026408 0.042031 0.062183
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000834 0.005353 0.014093 0.026969 0.043421 0.064742
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000571 0.004870 0.013683 0.026935 0.044042 0.066350
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000298 0.004187 0.012879 0.026314 0.043888 0.066987
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000115 0.003564 0.012103 0.025689 0.043700 0.067559
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000078 0.003508 0.012329 0.026499 0.045366 0.070422
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000023 0.003207 0.012074 0.026595 0.046091 0.072108